Friday, August 29, 2008

No More College Football

Don't expect to see any college football observations on this blog. I was thoroughly disappointed with Baylor last night. One thing I can't stand is missed extra points. I can deal with fumbles, interceptions and blown coverage. But a missed extra point?

I am, however, in the Robert Griffin Fan Club. Very impressive. Controversy over, IMO.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Only Two More Hours

College Football season gets under way for the Houston Sports Guy. I am a Baylor grad and we take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons tonight at 7 on FSN.

I'm going to leave work in the next few minutes and start working in the kitchen, firing up the grill and popping open a few cold ones.

I guess on my hiatus, I became an amateur cook. I'm trying out a new recipe tonight, which I'm hoping becomes a Game Day favorite. It's kind of like a Salisbury steak on a burger.

I'm going to make some brown gravy with sauteed mushrooms and onions, then put some burgers on the grill. When they're done, I'll smother them with Swiss cheese and gravy.

There's my first recipe suggestion of the season:

Salisbury Burgers

I can list a full recipe upon request.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Ground Rules

Here's the way my blog works:

I give my predictions for the NFL season prior to the first game (which I've already done). Each week I pick every NFL game straight up and against the spread. I usually make my picks on Tuesday while the previous week's games are still fresh in my mind and have until kickoff of the first game of the week (whether it be Thursday, Saturday or Sunday) to account for injuries or other news to change my mind.

I keep a running total all season long of how I'm doing both straight up and against the spread. At the end of the season, I look at each team's win total and see if I was correct on the preseason over/under.

Obviously, I am anticipating Week 1 since I've posted everything today. I also have DirecTV now, so I will enjoy this season a lot more than usual.

Explanation

Here's why I picked the way I did:

1. The AFC South is the best division in football, and (1a.) Besides the Steelers, the AFC North is the most overrated division in football -- the South plays the North this year.

2. I believe in the Super Bowl loser curse -- the Patriots will be lucky to win 10 games this year. Call me crazy.

3. Tennessee won with smoke and mirrors last year, and I think their schedule is brutal. They could lose all of their home games. They won't, but it wouldn't shock me if they did.

4. The NFC South is awful -- awful, awful, awful. How New Orleans let last year get away from this is beyond words (awful).

5. The NFC East is the second-toughest division in football. Three teams from the East will make the playoffs just by default. There is no one in the other divisions to challenge them -- maybe Arizona (maybe), maybe Green Bay (maybe).

6. The Super Bowl will come down to who has the hottest hand, just like last year. I believe the Colts will have their struggles this year, but everyone will be healthy and ready come January. Peyton will have the hottest hand.

7. Teams I like to be better than they were last year: Buffalo, New York Jets, Houston (of course) and Philadelphia.

8. Teams that will not be as good as they were last year: New England, Tennessee, New York Giants (but they still make the playoffs) and Tampa Bay.

Eight is enough.

NFL Preseason Predictions

Since I'm back from hiatus, I'm on a roll today. I'm just trying to get my NFL stuff out there. If you're going to Vegas and betting on NFL Futures, here are my picks for this year. I'll take a look at the over/under for each team's win total and guess what I think their actual win total will be. Keep in mind, last year I was 18-13-1, so at least you would have been able to throw some extra scratch at the blackjack tables. Let's get to it. Over/Unders in parenthases provided by Sportsbook.com.

AFC East
New York Jets.....12-4 (7.5).....Over
Buffalo...........10-6 (7.5).....Over
New England.......10-6 (12)......Under
Miami.............3-13 (5.5).....Under

AFC North
Pittsburgh........13-3 (9).......Over
Cincinnati........5-11 (7).......Under
Cleveland.........4-12 (8).......Under
Baltimore.........4-12 (6).......Under

AFC South
Jacksonville......14-2 (10)......Over
Indianapolis......12-4 (11)......Over
Houston...........12-4 (7.5).....Over
Tennessee.........2-14 (8).......Under

AFC West
San Diego.........13-3 (10.5)....Over
Denver.............8-8 (7.5).....Over
Kansas City.......5-11 (5.5).....Under
Oakland...........3-13 (6).......Under

NFC East
Dallas............13-3 (10.5)....Over
Philadelphia......12-4 (8.5).....Over
New York Giants...11-5 (8.5).....Over
Washington........5-11 (7.5).....Under

NFC North
Minnesota.........12-4 (8.5).....Over
Green Bay..........9-7 (8.5).....Over
Chicago............8-8 (8).......Push
Detroit...........5-11 (6.5).....Under

NFC South
New Orleans.......13-3 (8.5).....Over
Tampa Bay..........7-9 (8).......Under
Carolina..........5-11 (7.5).....Under
Atlanta...........4-12 (4.5).....Under

NFC West
Seattle...........13-3 (8.5).....Over
Arizona............9-7 (7.5).....Over
St. Louis.........5-11 (6.5).....Under
San Francisco.....2-14 (6).......Under

AFC Wild Card
Houston at New York Jets
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

NFC Wild Card
Philadelphia at Seattle
New York Giants at Minnesota

AFC Divisional Round
New York Jets at Jacksonville
Indianapolis at San Diego

NFC Divisional Round
Seattle at Dallas
Minnesota at New Orleans

AFC Championship
Indianapolis at Jacksonville

NFC Championship
New Orleans at Dallas

Super Bowl
Indianapolis vs. Dallas

Champion
Indianapolis

Fantasy Football

I've been a pretty decent fantasy football player over the years, appearing in every championship game of every league I've been in for the past three years. I make the Buffalo Bills proud -- losing all six of said contests.

I have two teams this year, my serious Yahoo! team composed of friends where I drafted 11 out of 12. Then, I'm in a random ESPN league with people I don't know where I drafted 3 out of 10.

Here's my Yahoo! team:

Drew Brees
Clinton Portis
Marshawn Lynch
Anquan Boldin
Laveraneus Coles
Derrick Mason
Dallas Clark
Josh Brown
Tennessee

Matt Schaub
Jonathan Stewart
Deuce McAllister
Bernard Berrian
Bobby Engram
Reggie Brown

Here's my ESPN team:

Carson Palmer
Brian Westbrook
Earnest Graham
Andre Johnson
Braylon Edwards
Santana Moss
Chris Cooley
Shayne Graham
Seattle

Eli Manning
Rashard Mendenhall
Matt Forte
Ahman Green
Derrick Mason
Owen Daniels
Devin Hester

Obviously in my mind I did the best I could with where I was positioned, but I went the WR philosophy in the second round in the ESPN draft to see what I would end up with and I'm not totally comfortable with Earnest Graham.

It made me more comfortable with picking Portis and Lynch back-to-back in the Yahoo! draft. I looked back on the Yahoo! draft and the best I could've hoped for was Portis-Edwards-Parker -- we'll see if that's better than Portis-Lynch-Boldin. The only mistake I made after that was not taking Santonio Holmes, then coming back and getting Drew Brees. Actually we'll have to see if Portis-Lynch-Boldin is also better than Portis-Lynch-Holmes.

Hiatus

With the NBA season over and the Astros sucking balls I decided to give the blog a rest until the NFL season. Seeing as I do this for my own entertainment, nobody missed it but me anyway.

The whole point was to see how good of a gambler I could be on the NFL and that's what I'm going to do. So, this blog will be very active from August until February. After that...probably not. Unless people start reading it, then I can't let them down.

I'm going to post some new stuff now.