Friday, August 31, 2007

NFL Preseason Predictions

I wanted to get my preseason predictions set in stone before the season, just so I can go back and look how I did at the end of the season. The main goal I want to accomplish is to see how the number of wins I predict for each team compares to the over/under in Las Vegas.

I predicted each regular season game, just so I'm not pulling numbers out of a hat. I had no preconceived thought as to what I wanted each team's record to be -- I just looked at each individual game and predicted what I thought might happen. It really takes into consideration each team's strength of schedule. I did go back at the end and change some of my picks because some teams I thought were too high and too low and would be able to pull out a win or snatch defeat from the jaws of victory every once in a while.

I'll be honest, I'm a Texans fan, so I have to believe in my team at this point. However, I also hate the Dallas Cowboys, so my prediction for them should restore some credibility to the picks.

Keep in mind I'm just seeing how I do compared to the over/under in Vegas, not necessarily trying to pick every team's record perfectly. If I get around 75% right, I will be pleased. Here we go:

2007 predicted record followed by over/under wins in parenthases provided by BetInternet. * denotes playoff team.



NFC
East
*Dallas: 13-3 (9)
*Philadelphia: 12-4 (9)
NY Giants: 8-8 (8)
Washington: 3-13 (7.5)

North
*Green Bay: 8-8 (7.5)
Chicago: 8-8 (10)
Detroit: 8-8 (6)
Minnesota: 4-12 (6.5)

South
*New Orleans: 14-2 (9)
Carolina: 5-11 (9)
Tampa Bay: 3-13 (7)
Atlanta: 1-15 (7.5)

West
*San Francisco: 11-5 (8)
*St. Louis: 11-5 (7.5)
Seattle: 10-6 (9)
Arizona: 5-11 (7.5)

AFC
East
*New England: 13-3 (11.5)
NY Jets: 7-9 (8)
Buffalo: 5-11 (6)
Miami: 3-13 (7.5)

North
*Cincinnati: 12-4 (9)
*Pittsburgh: 11-5 (9)
Baltimore: 7-9 (9.5)
Cleveland: 2-14 (6)

South
*Indianapolis: 13-3 (10.5)
*Houston: 9-7 (6.5)
Tennessee: 8-8 (7)
Jacksonville: 6-10 (9)

West
*San Diego: 14-2 (11)
Kansas City: 9-7 (7.5)
Denver: 6-10 (9.5)
Oakland: 3-13 (5)

Top Picks: Over - New Orleans. Under - Atlanta. Other picks I feel really good about: Washington (under), Dallas (over), Tampa Bay (under), Miami (under), Cleveland (under), Denver (under).

NFC Wild Card
St. Louis at Green Bay
Philadelphia at San Francisco

AFC Wild Card
Houston at Cincinnati
Pittsburgh at New England

NFC Divisional Round
St. Louis at New Orleans
Philadelphia at Dallas

AFC Divisional Round
Cincinnati at San Diego
New England at Indianapolis

NFC Championship Game
Philadelphia at New Orleans

AFC Championship Game
Indianapolis at San Diego

Super Bowl
New Orleans vs. San Diego

Champion
San Diego

Check back on my next blog for my complete Week 1 picks.