The Great Experiment

Here is the reason this blog even exists. The final results of the great experiment to see how well I could pick the over-under for each NFL team's 2007 regular-season wins. Listed below is exactly how I picked them to finish, their predicted record and the number in parenthasis represents what Vegas listed as the over-under back in August. I'm giving myself the benefit of the doubt, because I would not have picked a team to push. Their actual record is in bold.

I predicted 18 right, 13 wrong and there was one (1) push -- San Diego with 11 wins. That comes out to .578. I was hoping for much better than 58%, but at least I still would have won some money. To break it down by conference, I went 10-5-1 in the AFC and 8-8 in the NFC.

I predicted 6 of the 12 playoff teams correctly and 5 of the 8 division champions: Dallas, Green Bay, New England, Indianapolis and San Diego. Pittsburgh is the other team I predicted to go to the playoffs but not to win their division.

NFC
East
*Dallas: 13-3 (9) 13-3 (correct)
*Philadelphia: 12-4 (9) 8-8 (incorrect)
NY Giants: 8-8 (8) 10-6 (correct)
Washington: 3-13 (7.5) 9-7 (incorrect)

North
*Green Bay: 8-8 (7.5) 13-3 (correct)
Chicago: 8-8 (10) 7-9 (correct)
Detroit: 8-8 (6) 7-9 (correct)
Minnesota: 4-12 (6.5) 8-8 (incorrect)

South
*New Orleans: 14-2 (9) 7-9 (incorrect)
Carolina: 5-11 (9) 7-9 (correct)
Tampa Bay: 3-13 (7) 9-7 (incorrect)
Atlanta: 1-15 (7.5) 4-12 (correct)

West
*San Francisco: 11-5 (8) 5-11 (incorrect)
*St. Louis: 11-5 (7.5) 3-13 (incorrect)
Seattle: 10-6 (9) 10-6 (correct)
Arizona: 5-11 (7.5) 8-8 (incorrect)

AFC
East
*New England: 13-3 (11.5) 16-0 (correct)
NY Jets: 7-9 (8) 4-12 (correct)
Buffalo: 5-11 (6) 7-9 (incorrect)
Miami: 3-13 (7.5) 1-15 (correct)

North
*Cincinnati: 12-4 (9) 7-9 (incorrect)
*Pittsburgh: 11-5 (9) 10-6 (correct)
Baltimore: 7-9 (9.5) 5-11 (correct)
Cleveland: 2-14 (6) 10-6 (incorrect)

South
*Indianapolis: 13-3 (10.5) 13-3 (correct)
*Houston: 9-7 (6.5) 8-8 (correct)
Tennessee: 8-8 (7) 10-6 (correct)
Jacksonville: 6-10 (9) 11-5 (incorrect)

West
*San Diego: 14-2 (11) 11-5 (push)
Kansas City: 9-7 (7.5) 4-12 (incorrect)
Denver: 6-10 (9.5) 7-9 (correct)
Oakland: 3-13 (5) 4-12 (correct)