Tuesday, September 2, 2008

NFL Week 1 Predictions

Here we go! Just to review, last year I was 184-83 (.689) straight up and 146-111-10 (.566) against the spread for the regular season and playoffs. Straight up picks are in bold, but it is noted to the side if I think the losing team will cover.

Week 1
Thursday, Sept. 4

Washington (+4) at NY Giants

Sunday, Sept. 7
Cincinnati (-1.5) at Baltimore
NY Jets (-3) at Miami
Kansas City (+16) at New England -- KC to cover
Houston (+6.5) at Pittsburgh -- HOU to cover
Jacksonville (-3) at Tennessee
Detroit (-3) at Atlanta
Seattle (PK) at Buffalo
Tampa Bay (+3.5) at New Orleans
St. Louis (+7) at Philadelphia
Dallas (-5) at Cleveland
Carolina (+9.5) at San Diego
Arizona (-2.5) at San Francisco
Chicago (+9.5) at Indianapolis -- CHI to cover

Monday, Sept. 8
Minnesota (+2.5) at Green Bay
Denver (-3) at Oakland

Friday, August 29, 2008

No More College Football

Don't expect to see any college football observations on this blog. I was thoroughly disappointed with Baylor last night. One thing I can't stand is missed extra points. I can deal with fumbles, interceptions and blown coverage. But a missed extra point?

I am, however, in the Robert Griffin Fan Club. Very impressive. Controversy over, IMO.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Only Two More Hours

College Football season gets under way for the Houston Sports Guy. I am a Baylor grad and we take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons tonight at 7 on FSN.

I'm going to leave work in the next few minutes and start working in the kitchen, firing up the grill and popping open a few cold ones.

I guess on my hiatus, I became an amateur cook. I'm trying out a new recipe tonight, which I'm hoping becomes a Game Day favorite. It's kind of like a Salisbury steak on a burger.

I'm going to make some brown gravy with sauteed mushrooms and onions, then put some burgers on the grill. When they're done, I'll smother them with Swiss cheese and gravy.

There's my first recipe suggestion of the season:

Salisbury Burgers

I can list a full recipe upon request.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Ground Rules

Here's the way my blog works:

I give my predictions for the NFL season prior to the first game (which I've already done). Each week I pick every NFL game straight up and against the spread. I usually make my picks on Tuesday while the previous week's games are still fresh in my mind and have until kickoff of the first game of the week (whether it be Thursday, Saturday or Sunday) to account for injuries or other news to change my mind.

I keep a running total all season long of how I'm doing both straight up and against the spread. At the end of the season, I look at each team's win total and see if I was correct on the preseason over/under.

Obviously, I am anticipating Week 1 since I've posted everything today. I also have DirecTV now, so I will enjoy this season a lot more than usual.

Explanation

Here's why I picked the way I did:

1. The AFC South is the best division in football, and (1a.) Besides the Steelers, the AFC North is the most overrated division in football -- the South plays the North this year.

2. I believe in the Super Bowl loser curse -- the Patriots will be lucky to win 10 games this year. Call me crazy.

3. Tennessee won with smoke and mirrors last year, and I think their schedule is brutal. They could lose all of their home games. They won't, but it wouldn't shock me if they did.

4. The NFC South is awful -- awful, awful, awful. How New Orleans let last year get away from this is beyond words (awful).

5. The NFC East is the second-toughest division in football. Three teams from the East will make the playoffs just by default. There is no one in the other divisions to challenge them -- maybe Arizona (maybe), maybe Green Bay (maybe).

6. The Super Bowl will come down to who has the hottest hand, just like last year. I believe the Colts will have their struggles this year, but everyone will be healthy and ready come January. Peyton will have the hottest hand.

7. Teams I like to be better than they were last year: Buffalo, New York Jets, Houston (of course) and Philadelphia.

8. Teams that will not be as good as they were last year: New England, Tennessee, New York Giants (but they still make the playoffs) and Tampa Bay.

Eight is enough.